Election year in America is a period of fervent activity. However in a sense, it is a restricted election as the main contestants are only from two parties, namely Republican or Democrat. Frankly, there is little to choose between the two, other than minor differences.Theoretically,anybody can stand for an election in the USA, but a candidate who does not belong to these two mainstream parties has no chance whatsoever of winning at the hustings. This is the harsh truth. Both parties have a common thread and that is nationalism,unlike in India where the grand old party , the Congress at many places compromised on India's security like in the Batla House encounter, Dawood, and Samjhauta Express.
Donald Trump when he started the race against 16 contestants was given not an iota of a chance. But like a seasoned boxer he kayoed all the contestants from JebBush to Ted Cruz and finally emerged as the presumptive GOP nominee for the coming presidential election. I recollect one of Donald's statements. When he was reminded that the veterans and the old guard in the Republican party were opposed to him and could be the referees who would declare him out of the race, he replied that he knew it and as a boxer who enters a hostile territory where all the referees are arraigned against him, he would smash all his opponents with knockout and the referees will be presented with a fait accompli. This about sums up the character of Donald Trump.
Donald Trump did indeed incite passions and even his own GOP members have announced that they will support Hillary Clinton. But pollsters and others are hard to put to explain that despite so much antagonism against him, how come Donald won the nomination by crushing his opponents? The fact is that the silent American man came out of his home and voted for Donald as he identified with the views, though extreme of Donald Trump. His diatribes against Muslims, Hispanics and how to fight the ISIS struck a chord with the silent American citizen. He decided that Donald was his best bet to save him and he came out of his home to support Donald , notwithstanding the rhetoric of Mitt Romney and old timers who railed against Donald. These men failed to see the writing on the wall, that America is changing and the people do not want the status quo to continue.
Hillary Clinton will most likely,bar a miracle be the Democratic nominee. She has women voters, blacks, coloreds and big business behind her, but she is identified with Obama administration and an appeasement policy favoring Muslims. She also faces a Congressional indictment on the email scandal and that will dent her chances. Hillary has nothing new to offer and the American man sitting at home , I resume is fed up a status quo where he feels unsafe. It is this silent American who may and will tilt the scales in the final outcome.
the elections are still some months away, but the dice is cast and the American people have to choose between Donald and Hillary . It's like choosing between bad and worse and it's a pity as no other candidate can make it. One bright spark was Bernie Sanders but he has come to a cropper as the Democratic old guard decided to dump him and support Hillary. Frankly, Bernie never stood a chance, despite polls showing he is the best man to face and beat Donald.
Donald in negativity is 10 points ahead of Hillary and his popularity is now 2 points behind the Democrat presumptive nominee. But these are early days and I am sure when the time to cast the vote will come, Donald may well be the winner. A win for Donald will alarm politicians like the British PM and Muslims , who he has declared will not be allowed to enter the USA till their bonafide's is proved. Many in the world are unhappy and Pakistan is hiding its terror at Donald becoming the US president as he has gone on record and stated that the Pak nuclear arsenal is unsafe. Indians, of course are happy and the Hindu Sena has held a prayer meeting for the victory of Donald Trump in the coming election.
One has now to wait for a few months and see what transpires. But there is no doubt that Donald Trump has made a point and he cannot be written off.
NarendraModi must remain an enigma as with almost half of his tenure over, he has failed to deliver on all that he had promised. He talked big before the election, but 2 years down the line, it is difficult to fathom why he never moved an inch in all that he had promised. Modi is thus not a Karamyogi, which in Hindu philosophy is synonymous with action or a doer. On the contrary, he appears to look more and more Like a man sitting on the fence waiting for events to overtake him. Considering that he on his own had won a massive majority, this inertness does baffle. One is reminded of the famous nursery rhyme that stated: " Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall, Humpty-Dumpty had a great fall and all the kings horses and all the kings men could not put Humpty Dumpty together again". One hopes something similar does not happen to Modi.
Let's have a look at Modi's promises. He stated that he would sanction OROP as per the Koshyari Commission, bring in Uniform Civil Code, Integrate Kashmir by abolishing Article 370, bring back all the black money stored abroad, construct a war memorial, prosecute the leaders of the Congress party on corruption issues, rethink on the Samjhauta Blast, Construct Ram Temple, usher in better days, give a fitting reply to Pakistan and a host of more promises. Did Modi just make them as an electoral camouflage or he really meant it? The fact is that Modi has not moved anywhere near doing any of these activities in total though he did pass OROP but not as per the definition approved by parliament, but the BJP own interpretation that in effect meant just a pension raise and not equalization of pensions as approved.
On Kashmir, he has formed a government with a rabid anti-national party the PDF. His promise of resettling Pandits as well abolition of Article 370 have not gone anywhere. On Article 370 not a word has come from him and that is surprising, considering when in the opposition the BJP was the most strident in asking for abolishing the Article 370. As things stand, the situation in the valley is bad and daily 3/4 soldiers of the army are martyred. What use is his forming an alliance with the PDP as the state goes further into anarchy?
Modi and the BJP have not moved anywhere on the Temple or the Uniform Civil Code, despite it being part of the directive principles of the constitution. Again the failure to act on this important legislation, that is demanded by the Muslim women, is a shock. Despite the hue and cry on triple talaq as per the Sharia, Modi was expected to lead the debate and ask the Supreme Court to expedite its decision. But he has just sat on the fence and maintained an enigmatic silence.
Modi's record with Pakistan is poor. When in opposition he made tall claims but the reality is different. He visited Pakistan to meet Sharif and had a bloody attack on the Pathankot base. Worse in a joint investigation, he allowed the Pak team to enter not only India but the Pathankot base and obviously there is no reciprocity.Modi has been elbowed out of Nepal and Ceylon by China and he has failed to stand firmly against China when he refused Visa to 2 Chinese dissidents to attend a conference in Dharamshala on not antagonizing China. Yet China des not reciprocate and even restricts Indian pilgrims to visit Mansarovar as well is issuing stapled visa fro Indian residents of Kashmir and Arunachal Pradesh, which China claims. China has also vetoed the Indian membership of the nuclear sellers group and thrown the Indian request for Azhar Mahmood in the dustbin.
At home though over 2 years have elapsed the BJP government has not filed even an FIR against most of the Congress leaders and Robert Vadera, son in law of Sonia Gandhi. What is the hitch? Perhaps he was talking too much and the evidence is simply not there. The Black money equation remains the same and Modi and his finance minister are reduced to making statements, but on the ground, it is zero.
The war memorial? nobody seems to have heard anything about it including his boast to crush the Maoist insurrection. Modi has also not concentrated on matching China. One reason is his complete lack of knowledge of power politics and the role of military power as an extension of national policy. Modi needs to read Clausewitz, but he is a man with limited means of education and such a treatise may be beyond his grasp.
Modi has miles to go, but he has achieved nothing so far. It's a sad state, that a man who came riding a tiger should be eaten by the tiger.
Background
Narendra Damodar Modi is the Prime Minister of India. He has had a checkered career and risen to great heights from a not so affluent background. Modi was born on 17 September 1950 at Mehsana in Gujerat. The time is given as 11am and I presume this is accurate enough. That makes him 66 years old.This is an age when many men reach their prime intellectually and Modi is no exception. He is the Prime Minister of India and that is one of the most difficult appointments in the world. This is because he heads a nation that from Kashmir to Assam has a diverse culture and language. Though 80% of the population is Hindu, yet this Hinduism has many facets and the people are not one in thought and deed.
I am an amateur astrologer and thought it fit to present to readers of this site a fascinating view of what the stars foretell about Modi. Astrology is not infallible, but ancient Indian astrologers like the Bhrigue in their works have forecast horoscopes of people thousands of years back. So there is an element of truth in horoscopes. Normally horoscopes which are cast are called " Natal Horoscopes", which is the position of the plants and their conjunctions at the time of birth. The horoscope of Modi is sent to me by my friend from California. It is also available on the net, but the interpretations are made by me.
The Horoscope of Modi
The horoscope is based on the Ascendent. This is the dominating star and house at the time of birth. The Ascendent of Modi is Mars and this shows energy and strength. This has carried him to his present position. There is no point in discussing his past and his marriage which are events that have long passed. At this stage one is interested in the future and what it holds for Modi.
Modi won the last general election single-handed. It was a victory that can correctly be ascribed only to him. The reason is that 4 planets including the Sun are in the 10th house. This conjunction spells the rise of Modi. A decade back nobody could have imagined that Modi will rise to this height. Yet, he surmounted all problems and led the BJP to victory. This is entirely due to placements of plants in the 10th house.
The Napoleonic House in Modi's Horoscope
But again the 10th house has great significance otherwise. It is a house that is also referred to as " Napoleonic house". Now Napoleon was a great French man. He rose from obscurity to be a great leader and emperor of France. But having reached his apex he dropped to the nadir with a massive defeat at Waterloo. This ended all his dreams and he spent the rest of his life as a prisoner of the English at the island of St Helena in the Atlantic Ocean, thousands of miles from home.
Sadly Modi has the same dispensation of plants in the 10th house.Sun and Saturn have conjoined in this house and they show a tremendous rise as is demonstrated by his rise to power. But Saturn unlike Jupiter in all astrology's has great side effects. It gives great rise, but abject downfall to the depths of nowhere. Everybody knows what happened to Napoleon. There is a similar chance of events overtaking Modi in the years to come.
The position of the planets in the 10th house can be interpreted to mean that in the 2019 election, he may crash to a gigantic defeat. I will say a shattering defeat. This is sad, but again this is what one reads from the stars. I am a supporter of Modi, but I am afraid the stars do not portend his continuation in power.
One fact that emerges from Modi's horoscope is that he is not a revolutionary. Thus, for limited gains he has not followed what he had preached. On at least a dozen issues from UCC, Article 370,reservation, China, Pakistan policy among others he has not brought in anything revolutionary. On the contrary like giving the reservation of 10% to higher castes and violating the instructions of the Supreme Court he has in fact seriously compromised himself.This is because of Saturn in the 10th house and it's conjunction with the Sun. Saturn has always long term ill effects and that perhaps is the reason that Modi for short term vote bank politics has resorted to such subterfuges.
Last Word
Modi's horoscope is interesting and in some later posts I shall give readers many other insights to his character. In particular the complete absence of women in his life, which again is a trait that is not found in a majority of horoscopes.
Modi will do well to beware. I recollect reading Shakespear's famous play " Julius Ceasor". He was warned to beware of the "Ides of March" and not go to the Senate. He went and got murdered. The 2019 election is still 3 years away and if Modi pulls up his socks he could turn the effects of the 10th house. But to my mind, he has reached his zenith and when you reach the zenith, you slip. in the case of Modi, it may be a sheer and precipitous fall.
Many people are astounded that Donald Trump has been vociferously denouncing Islam and the terrorism connected with it. Many fail to utter a word against Muslim terrorism and talk in general terms about terror. Such people would not like that Islam be identified with terrorism. To these people the approach of Donald Trump is difficult to fathom. They wonder how this man fervently denounces Islam and holds it as the fountain head of terror activities in the world.
Donald Trump is a billionaire businessman who is aspiring to get the GOP nomination for presidential election. These elections are slated this year and the crucial meeting will be in November when the Republican convention will take place to decide on the GOP nominee. Trump is aiming to get the maximum number of delegates, so that he can win the nomination. As on date out of 15 states where party elections have taken place, Trump is the winner in 10 of them. He is way ahead of his nearest rivals Ted Cruz and Rubio.
What is the reason that a man like Trump is leading the race for the GOP nomination? The reason is simple as this man has come with an agenda to restore American pride and as part of that has picked on Muslim terror. He is clear that the greatest danger to America is Islamic terror. The present president Barack Muhammed Obama has left things to meander and overall treated terror groups with kid gloves. He failed to identify Islam as a source of terror. Maybe he had a personal agenda, as his father was a Muslim and he also attended a Madrasa, religious Islamic school for 2 years. Trump has attacked Obama and this has gone down well with the American people.
America is in a stage of ferment. Attacks by Muslim terror groups like the twin trade towers bombings, Boston race and the California killings have alarmed the common man. Donald has played on these fears and promised stern action against Muslims all over the world and even those settled for decades in America. His words have had a reassuring effect on the common American who feels Trump may be the man America needs.
Donald Trump has not minced his words and has threatened to take the war to the Muslim lands, where terrorist groups, like ISIS have sanctuary. His other proposals are equally revolutionary. He has proposed that there needs to be a total ban on Muslims entering the USA. This is a brazen statement and shows the bent of mind of the GOP contender. Alistair Maclean wrote " Fear is the Key". This is a commodity that Trump treats with disdain. The reaction of the Muslim world holds no terror for him. This is in sharp contrast to India where the people and the government are loathe to connect Islam with terrorism. So much so that TADA and POTA were scrapped as these acts offended the Muslims in India.
Trump has also proposed to arrest all Muslims in USA and inter them in camps, till they can prove their innocence. Many Americans find this proposal distasteful. But Trump has pointed out that he is proposing nothing new. He has pointed out that president Roosevelt had during World War II ordered the confinement of all Japanese who lived in the USA, yet he is considered a great president. Roosevelt was President of USA during the war years and died in 1945, towards the fag end of the war.
Trump has got the feel of the pulse of the American citizen. This has led him to propose some radical steps. He has proposed a reciprocal treatment to all Jehadi outfits. He feels these organization's only understand the language of force. Trump says he will authorize forms of torture like water boarding for captured terrorists. He will also allow reprisals against the families of terrorists. It should be like the old code of Hummarabi- an eye for an eye and tooth for a tooth. Trump thus has his priorities clear. He feels Islam is the greatest danger to America. This is a view that has gone down well with the American people.
Trump also does not advocate a withdrawal from Afghanistan. His thinking is revolutionary as he feels America must remain in Afghanistan to protect the Pakistan nukes. Obviously he does not have much confidence in Pakistan and its ability to safeguard their nuclear arsenal. He feels the Pakistan nukes at some stage may well fall in the hands of Muslim Jehadi groups.
Trump is on the rise. These are early days and anything can happen as another 35 states have still to vote. Trump has however shown guts in attacking Islam as the source of all terror. I wonder if anybody in India can emulate Trump. There is no doubt that Trump is a man with a mission. It will be interesting to see if he can win the GOP nomination. The biggest opposition to a Trump nomination is from within the party itself. The 'old guard' led by Mitt Romney( he was the GOP candidate in the 2012 election) are against his nomination. Yet Donald Trump may surprise them.
Background
After the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, the pendulum of world domination shifted to the Western world and for the next 200 years the British Empire was the greatest empire in the world. After the end of World War I a new nation, young and vibrant appeared on the scene. In the next 2 decades it replaced the British Empire and became the greatest power the world has ever known. It was the United states of America.
All empires and world powers have periods of decline and rise, but great men have appeared who have arrested what sometimes looks inevitable. After World War I, the cracks had started showing in the British Empire and though at that time not appreciated, it had started creaking. One of the most formidable men who appeared on the scene was Adolf Hitler. This man rode to power on a promise of "Making Germany Great". He won the largest number of seats in the Reichstag and was invited to form the government by the the then Chancellor Von Hindenburg. If I remember it was in about 1933, this happened. Hitler came to power by a popular vote. Hitler had however realized that to dominate the world he would have to face the British Empire. But again a reading of his autobiography " Mien Kampf" brings out some weird ideas.
One of the weird ideas was his admiration of Britain. He did not consider the British as ' natural enemies', unlike the Eastern and Slav races who he considered inferior and lacking in intellect. At places he has also referred to them as sub-humans. Hitler if he had his way, would have liked to have a separate peace with the British and expand at the expanse of area in the East meaning Russia. This is his theme of " lebensraum" or living space for the German people in the East.
Hitler and Churchill
Here he ran foul of a man named Winston Churchill, who was a die hard opponent of Hitler. He was also a great pragmatist and had realized that Hitler and the British could not live together and so he opposed Nazism and Hitler with all his might. It was because of Churchill that Hitler hardened his attitude towards Britain and decided to oppose it. But his warped mind could not appreciate that Churchill was no ordinary leader and his decision to call off " operation Sea Lion" was on of the colossal blunders of his life. " Operation Sea Lion" was the code name for the German invasion of England. In-lieu he planned the invasion of Russia.
Even earlier during the British retreat at Dunkirk, during the Battle of France ( 1940), Hitler inexplicably delayed an assault by his Panzers and allowed the British Expeditionary Force ( BEF) to escape. These soldiers re-grouped and gave the English under Churchill breathing space.
Churchill galvanized the English and his speech when he talked of 1941 as being " England's Finest Hour" shows the mettle of the man. In fact during the bleak period of 1940-41, England stood alone against Hitler as America had not entered the war, the Russians had signed a nonaggression pact with Germany and France had ceased to exist. Churchill despite the odds being against the Empire stuck to his guns as he refuse all overtures of HItler, with a one point agenda to defeat Nazism. In short Churchill went against the general opinion that England would be better off in making peace with Germany. Churchill simply refused to consider any such proposal.
Churchill had also strong racial views. He is reported to have said that the principles of Islam are not compatible with Western thought.He was also against Indian independence and all along felt that Indians were not capable of governing themselves and if the English left India there would be all around chaos. Despite these opinions, the fact is Churchill inspired the English to defend their empire. In fact he was the need of the hour and in case Churchill had not been around the history of the world would have been different.
Many people opinion that Hitler would perhaps been more sympathetic to India. But a reading of his book ( Mien Kampf) shows he had an entirely convoluted opinion of India. He felt that Indians were not capable of governing themselves and the British rule was good for India.
America Now
The fact is that Churchill shored up the Empire. It's another story that after World War II, the USA became the superpower and England went into decline. The period after World War II, saw the rise of the USA, but as I have written great empires have cusps and downsides and after the 20th century, the USA began to slowly lose its status. the signs were all there and like Germany threatening the UK, America because of a weak and ineffectual president who had his own axe to grind allowed leadership of America to slacken. Maybe it is not apparent but the signs are ominous. Maybe it had something to do with the mental make up of Barack Obama, who was born a Muslim. In my visits to America, I have observed that most White Americans were not enamoured of Obama . As pointed out by the New York times,Obama won by a combination of votes and voting patterns. Obama however never controlled Congress which thwarted most of his moves, some of which would have let America down the alley of no return.
The situation in America is now akin to what England faced in 1939, with a rampaging Hitler breathing down the neck of the English. Churchill then appeared and now America needs a similar man. There is a the Islamic State hell bent on fighting the great Satan, China is showing its fangs right from the South China Sea to domination of the Pacific . For this it is constructing 12 aircraft carriers. North Korea is a nuclear power, in real terms just a proxy for China and Vladimir Putin has great power dreams of what the Soviet Union was. America is thus at a loss. It is no longer decisive as Obama has followed his own agenda. I suspect greatness of America was not a part of this.
Donald Trump?
Most countries around the globe trust America and that is a fact that cannot be wished away. Some one decisive is needed. There is one man who fills the bill and he is Donald trump. He has talked of making "America Great" again. He is a man who has ruffled many feathers by his brazen comments, yet all this is required to set the tone for the future. At a time when America is faced with a threat to its domination, there is a need for a man who has a clear insight and vision. This is required by the American allies as well an many in the Middle East who are waiting for the promised offensive against the ISI. There was also a need to realize who is friend and foe and in this at least 2 presidents gravely erred. The removal of Gaddafi and Saddam was one of them. The attacks by the ISI on Americans were not given the necessary priority and Obama literally tried to present it as a simple law and order problem. One shudders at the coverup of the killings of the US citizens and its ambassador in Benghazi. Trump has not minced his words and language regarding Muslims and that makes him stand out. His dream of making America great looks at the moment , the right direction and has struck a favorite chord with the Americans.
Donald Trump has won so far, but to get the nomination is a long way off as yet. He is on the right track and despite even ruffling the Pope, he has not backed down from his demand to erect a fence on the Mexican border to stop the flow of illegal immigrants to the USA. He has also asked for a temporary ban on Muslims into the USA. This has upset Obama who has in a statement i opined that the American people will reject Trump as president. All this is better said than done.
One cannot forecast the future. Trump may or may not win , but there is definitely a need for a man with his views to come on stage. It is about time some one stood by countries threatened by the powers like China and supported the moderates against the ISI and its ilk. There is also need for accommodation with Putin and whether that man is Trump will be seen in the coming election.
If Trump becomes President, the situation is similar to what happened when Churchill became PM. At that time Neville Chamberlain had signed the infamous Munich pact ( 1938) and sold to Hitler. It will give the new President a chance to rectify the ills of the last few years and the drift in American policy. The situation as it stands is similar to when Churchill appeared on the scene. One will have to wait and see, whether this will happen. In many ways the nexy US presidential election will be a watershed that will decide how long America remains a great power.
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