It is seemingly a very simple calculation.  The Government and the RBI pool their best brains to control money flow in the economy, increase taxes through every single means available -- the hike in service tax is one such instance -- and leave the middle class in the lurch.  Those who depend on fixed deposits for their survival are in deep trouble.

When all this happens, inflation shoots up and the prices of vegetables, milk, meat and what have you have already gone through the roof, when the Government claims it is less than six percent. There is absolutely no talk about increasing deposit rates, and the bankers simply say that the rates are going to come even further down.  So, we might end up having just seven percent paid on our deposits, which are also taxed if the income is more than a ridiculous ten thousand rupees.

People like Vijay Mallaya can cool themselves in London, and several corporates can still owe the banks some one lakh crore rupees in bad debts. So, this sad story of robbing Peter to Pay Paul continues without any limit.

The simple question is:  will inflation ever come down, and will deposit rates ever increase?  Members who have some background in economics and can answer this vital question, please do help us understand how things will shape up, and what will be the future -- three to five years?

Like it on Facebook, Tweet it or share this topic on other bookmarking websites.

India is an emerging economy in which the supply and demand are ever changing unlike advanced countries where various economic variables have reached a plateau and thus corrective actions can be taken because of stability. In India due to expanding population and rising purchasing power of a large section of it the demand outpaces supply especially in food items. Down the economic ladder previously poor persons with improvement in earnings are consuming better quality foods like those containing proteins. This increase in demand should be met by corresponding rise in supply which is not happening due to reasons like, monsoon failure, hoarding, supply chain problems, inadequate cold storage facilities, farmers not getting remunerative prices etc. All these are operating almost simultaneously. Thus demand outstrips supply causing prices to rise as per fundamentals of economics. This leads to inflation rising. RBI increases interest rates to mop up excess money supply to try and arrest rising prices. Industry wants lower interest rates because that cheapens loans and improves their earning margins. thus there is a clash of interests and in a democracy lobbying takes place. So a pro industry government will try to reduce interest rates which RBI may resist if inflation rates are high. Thus if you are depending on bank interest rates for earning you will see a reduction due to lower interest rates. Your option is to take up some work which will give you some earning every month or lower your life style. In USA the deposit interest rates are 1 or 2% and old people continue working to supplement their incomes. India will continue with high inflation rates generally for many years.

You do not have permissions to reply to this topic.