The recent state election results and the future ..

I agree with the analysis. The BJP has just managed face saving in Gujarat- PM's home state. In Himachal, there is tendency to change party in power every time. Congress has well improved in Gujarat. Congress is definitely likely to do better next time. Three is difficulty for BJP in 2019. If congress even mildly improves in BJP ruled states, rulig party in center will at least lose clear majority and will depend more on allies-  even if NDA manages to win Lok Sabha elections. 

Actually for a party to win an election after 22 years of being in power and improve its vote share is credible and that's what BJP has done in Gujrat , so it is not a face saver..It is true that one should never take things for granted because with the kind of opposition that BJP has to take on , they need to outsmart them to remain at the top. The coming state elections in 2018 will be crucial for BJP since the general elections will follow in 2019 and the state election results are bound to have an impact on the general election too..

I totally agree with Usha. For a party to hold a state even after 22 years is in itself a great proof of its credibility and of people trust in its governance. Congress gave a tough fight by playing all that it could...caste, religion, reservation..

Arunima Singh wrote:

I totally agree with Usha. For a party to hold a state even after 22 years is in itself a great proof of its credibility and of people trust in its governance. Congress gave a tough fight by playing all that it could...caste, religion, reservation..

Congress has also proven that it is a bad loser so now is bent on disrupting the Parliament session like they always do when they face some failure..

I agree with all the posters above but we should not forget the role of three youth leaders that supported congress and made a difference on final result. Maybe they indirectly influenced the voters that was instrumental in congress gaining the number of seats finally. However, Loksabha election in  2019 will be the final test for both the major parties.

Probably the young leaders may have helped Congress , but their own future prospect lies in their performance rather than Modi bashing which is what they seem to be doing as of now. But, I do agree that 2019 election may not be a cakewalk for BJP since there will be a lot of players coming in ...so , if they have any sense the BJP leaders should be concentrating on development and ignore the rest who purposely draw attention to themselves  ..

I also felt that in recent times BJP got a little bit of arrogance and even at times the leaders went overboard harming the decorum and sanctity of a mature ruling party. This might keep them in check and detoxify them from the power arrogance which has started slowly seeping in. The narrow margin victory might keep them to the realities of ground and stick to the real agenda

Voters have started realising that they will not vote for perceptions and empty slogans.

That's very true but it works both ways. There is no way a party commits innumerable acts of corruption and still get away just because someone is bringing new excuses and fabricating new slogans with the help of desperate goons. 

I see it as a positive trend where the political representatives will be judged based on their own stature rather than their family background . In fact there is need for a lot more reforms in the selection of candidates etc..

vijay wrote:

Voters have started realising that they will not vote for perceptions and empty slogans.

At least a good number of sensible ones have started realizing it and have voted against the dynasty who fooled them with false perceptions and empty slogans for six decades. Hopefully they don't fall trap of it further, question and judge before voting rather than falling for loyalty for so many years. BJP or Congress...one has to question and then vote.

Also in the present case, RSS seems to be backing out, TDP backing out & supporting No confidence motion, all these signs bend towards a tough period of BJP, it is destined to lose if it does not bring results in Job sector atleast. Also the hope is very less given the time left to complete the promises.

The recent bank scams have only made the prospect of a BJP win very less.

I personally feel that every election result has some kind f an impact on the m d of the voters... recently BJP has wn many state elections but lost in several by elections as well and for a political party it is in a way a yardstick to measure their performance . They should analyse and see where and how they can improve rather than blame the evm or others 

usha manohar wrote:

I personally feel that every election result has some kind f an impact on the m d of the voters... recently BJP has wn many state elections but lost in several by elections as well and for a political party it is in a way a yardstick to measure their performance . They should analyse and see where and how they can improve rather than blame the evm or others 

The BJP lost parliamentary elections in row and cold not win even one.  Chandrababu naidu  going away is a blow.  How will BJ P cope.  Modi is popular but that does not mean a win.  Vajpayee was also popular yet Manmohan became PM. 

BJp can bite the dust as it evokes a lot of hatred from Muslim's in particular.congress may not win but a kichdi  government cobbled up like by Gujral and Deve Gowda can happen again

usha manohar wrote:

I personally feel that every election result has some kind f an impact on the m d of the voters... recently BJP has wn many state elections but lost in several by elections as well and for a political party it is in a way a yardstick to measure their performance . They should analyse and see where and how they can improve rather than blame the evm or others 

The BJP lost parliamentary elections in row and cold not win even one.  Chandrababu naidu  going away is a blow.  How will BJ P cope.  Modi is popular but that does not mean a win.  Vajpayee was also popular yet Manmohan became PM. 

MG Singh wrote:

BJp can bite the dust as it evokes a lot of hatred from Muslim's in particular.congress may not win but a kichdi  government cobbled up like by Gujral and Deve Gowda can happen again

We all know what happened after these khichdi govts we're formed , they collapsed in n no time. I sincerely wish BJP gets it's act together because they are far better than all other communal parties put together..

usha manohar wrote:

MG Singh wrote:

BJp can bite the dust as it evokes a lot of hatred from Muslim's in particular.congress may not win but a kichdi  government cobbled up like by Gujral and Deve Gowda can happen again

We all know what happened after these khichdi govts we're formed , they collapsed in n no time. I sincerely wish BJP gets it's act together because they are far better than all other communal parties put together..

Agreed  but hope BJP gets it act together

A couple of months back, it was like BJP will get to power in 2019, however the winds seems to be changing. Congress seems to be growing in power & bringing out constructive criticisms. BJP losing in by elections where Modi has not marketed his party only tells that the BJP team is dependent on one man show & that is not a good sign for any party.

There needs to be a strong mechanism in place for each state BJP person to give freedom & yet give direction in which path the party has to travel & achieve. The state elected CM's should be a leader of their own right & strength & they should win on that basis & not on the basis of Modi alone.

The situation in India currently does not warrant a BJP rule for another 5 years with Stock Market fluctuating like never before, I guess the concerns of govenment instability is rising.

Hope BJP takes decisions and actions on those fronts that is required the most.

We can never see an atmosphere that favors a single party all the time especially when there are ups and downs in political equations. A few failures don't really change anything much although it can have an impact in the coming elections, which again depends on the ground realities f that particular state it region. People are not fools to be swayed by a minor setback..